SOCIAL AREAS AND CHANGE: RELATIONSHIPS WITH AGE, SEX, COLOR AND CAUSE-SPECIFIC MORTALITY RATES OVER NEW YORK CITY HEALTH AREAS, 1960 - 1970.
Item
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Title
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SOCIAL AREAS AND CHANGE: RELATIONSHIPS WITH AGE, SEX, COLOR AND CAUSE-SPECIFIC MORTALITY RATES OVER NEW YORK CITY HEALTH AREAS, 1960 - 1970.
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Identifier
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AAI8103949
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identifier
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8103949
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Creator
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MILCAREK, BARRY IVOR.
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Contributor
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Edgar F. Borgatta
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Date
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1980
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Language
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English
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Publisher
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City University of New York.
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Subject
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Sociology, Demography
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Abstract
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This thesis offers a synthesis of perspectives derived from separate topics of urban small areas study. It demonstrates the empirical validity of a process-oriented explanation of death rates as a viable alternative to static descriptions based on unsupported cross-level inference.;Cross-sectional factor analyses based on matched sets of 1960 and 1970 census variables reveal the short-term collapse of familism as an integrated dimension of residential structure. Results are interpreted as residual effects of suburban flight. Interannual correlations between factor based scores link transition to status slippage, rising levels of segregation and youthful age composition.;Cluster analysis defines four short-term change types. Mean differences among types on factor based scores suggest sequential placements along a continuum related to processes of residential instability; piling up (ghetto aggregation), succession (ghetto expansion), filtering-invasion (areal life-cycle), and established white (subcultural inertia) contexts. Further evidence of sequential order among types is found in the spatial arrangement of clusters. Geographical patterning suggests a process of central city expansion occurring in close proximity to major subway routes in and out of Manhattan.;Criterion variables reflect empirical consistencies derived from aggregate level mortality research. Age, sex, color and cause-specific death rates, based on 1969-1971 average annual incidence levels matched to 1970 population data, are examined. Analyses involve a time ordered quasi-experimental design structured around three a priori (Helmert) contrast hypotheses reflecting sequential properties of the four stage transition model.;Order independent (stepwise) MANOVA tests of contrast hypotheses all prove significant beyond the .0001 probability level, clearly validating the thesis that mortality differentials emerge, in part, as an ordered function of short-term processes of residential change. Hotelling's T('2) ratio shows consistently stronger relationships across sequential contrasts, linking risk to degree of transition. Unique contributions to subtype separation (discriminant function coefficients) point to diversity of effects as an independent aspect of change-mortality relationships. Age and sex specific rates prove most important between least advanced transitional contexts; cause specific rates between contexts where transition processes are most advanced. Intermediate areas are subject to risk from a combination of both subsets of criterion parameters.;Conceptual synthesis is the first step toward formulating a middle-range theory of death rate interdependencies. Further research is needed to specify the influence of "active" processes versus "passive" consequences of residential change. Implications are that no single concept theory will suffice. Two organizing concepts are needed; one relating to strength and the other to diversity of effects.
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Type
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dissertation
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Source
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PQT Legacy CUNY.xlsx
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degree
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Ph.D.
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Program
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Sociology
