TIME SERIES CAUSALITY BETWEEN INFANT MORTALITY AND FERTILITY IN LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
Item
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Title
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TIME SERIES CAUSALITY BETWEEN INFANT MORTALITY AND FERTILITY IN LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
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Identifier
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AAI8222994
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identifier
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8222994
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Creator
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KARMAKAR, RATNA.
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Contributor
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Michael Grossman
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Date
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1982
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Language
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English
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Publisher
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City University of New York.
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Subject
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Economics, General
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Abstract
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Causality tests between infant mortality and fertility are performed for eight LDCs. The countries are: Egypt, Mauritius, India, Srilanka, Puerto Rico, Jamaica, Venezuela, and Columbia. Aggregate annual time series data are employed to test causation based on Granger-Sims definitions using leads and lags. The Box-Jenkins technique is used to whiten the series to run Sims' test. Both tests use first differenced series.;According to Granger's test, infant mortality affects fertility in six countries. The exceptions are India and Columbia. Fertility affects infant mortality in Egypt, Srilanka, India, Jamaica and Columbia. Sims' test shows causality running from infant mortality to fertility in four countries: Egypt, Mauritius, India and Columbia. Fertility affects infant mortality in only two countries: Mauritius and Puerto Rico. An additional test was performed on Granger causality using a linear trend term and without first differencing. This test shows only one way causality from fertility to infant mortality in the following five countries: Mauritius, India, Srilanka, Venezuela and Columbia.
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Type
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dissertation
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Source
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PQT Legacy CUNY.xlsx
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degree
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Ph.D.
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Program
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Economics
